| Serie A Predicted Finish |
| Rank |
Club |
Points |
| 1 |
Internazionale |
91 |
| 2 |
Juventus |
83 |
| 3 |
Milan |
76 |
| 4 |
Roma |
73 |
| 5 |
Sampdoria |
60 |
| 6 |
Fiorentina |
57 |
| 7 |
Lazio |
55 |
| 8 |
Torino |
51 |
| 9 |
Napoli |
50 |
| 10 |
Atalanta |
46 |
| 11 |
Catania |
46 |
| 12 |
Cagliari |
45 |
| 13 |
Siena |
43 |
| 14 |
Lecce |
41 |
| 15 |
Chievo |
41 |
| 16 |
Udinese |
39 |
| 17 |
Palermo |
37 |
| 18 |
Reggina |
37 |
| 19 |
Genoa |
34 |
| 20 |
Bologna |
34 |
The final set of predictions for the 2008-09 European club season takes me to Italy, where your view on who will win the league will undoubtedly be dependent on what you think of Jose Mourinho. He has been the big name transaction of the Calcio summer, A has dominated the Italian media and made himself the face of not just Internazionale but the league. There may not have been one better move the league could have made to reassert itself on the continent after the bad news of recent seasons.
I am a Mourinho fan and have great respect for everything he’s accomplished. Show me a real football follower who does not respect what Mourinho has done. And he and Internazionale are a perfect fit. It is a club with history and resources, is ready to win now, and will appreciate Mourinho more than he ever seemed to be over the last two years at Stamford Bridge. Everything is in place for him to succeed, and he better. This is a club that has won the last three Scudetto. Their management not only expects a repeat in the league but also challenge for the Champions League. Anything less than the final four in Europe will bring questions as to whether Mourinho had a successful season. To his credit, he seems to realize this.
Domestically, there are four teams which critics see as challengers. There’s Adrian Mutu’s Fiorentina, but the loss of Tomas Ujfalusi and goalie Sebastien Frey coming back to Earth a bit make it unlikely they will improve on a successful 2007-08. Milan, who finish behind Fiorentina, will have to make up 21 points on Inter despite an aging and injury-prone team. Roma came within three points last season, but this is another case where questions can be raised as to whether they can replicate an 82 point season, especially if Francesco Totti can never find true health.
That leaves Juventus, who I was biased towards at the start of this exercise. They have the best set of strikers in the league and could get 50-60 goals from just those four. They can expect a little better luck with health, and they have the best goalie in the league in Gianluigi Buffon. People outside Italy seem to forget that last season was their return to Serie A. This year they will have no issues of adjustment. More than any of this, though: this team really wants to win the title. There is a certain pride thse players have in playing for the Old Lady that’s admirable.
However, when I sat down and looked at the rosters, man-by-who should be playing man, it was just difficult to see Juve making up 13 points on Inter. In fact, I expect Inter to improve slightly with Mourinho. Juve will have to make up more than 13 points to take the Scudetto.
Ultimatley, I like Internazionale to win. Again. And thanks to a just quick fall-off in quality through the table, I think Inter (and the other top teams) to put up a lot of points. Last season inter only lost three matches. I don’t expect that number to increase this season. They tied ten times. I do see some of those matches turning into wins.
Amongst the surprise teams of the league, I like Torino to jump into UEFA Cup contention. Lazio, I like to make the top seven, which would hopefully find them in Europe. I also like Catania to avoid many of the struggles they had last season and easily avoid relegation battles.
At the other end of the spectrum, I like both Chievo and Lecce to stay up after being promoted from Serie B. Bologna, I don’t see as fortunate. Amongst the teams that I see fighting for survival: Reggina, Palermo, and Genoa.
Other teams I expect to falter a little: I think Udinese will finish closer to relegation than another UEFA Cup spot. I also think Fiorentina not only will not challenge for the league, I like them to get passed by Sampdoria, both of them finishing will behind Roma for the last Champions League spot.